Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Could Reach $250K by 2025 If Fed Shifts to QE
Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has forecasted that Bitcoin could surge to $250,000 by the end of 2025 if the U.S. Federal Reserve shifts toward quantitative easing (QE). Hayes attributes this potential price spike to an expected increase in the supply of fiat money, which he believes will be a major driver for Bitcoin's price.In a recent Substack post, Hayes explained that if the Fed moves away from its quantitative tightening (QT) strategy and embraces QE, Bitcoin could rise from a local low of $76,500 to $250,000 by the end of the year. He pointed to the Fed's decision to reduce the Treasury runoff cap from $25 billion to $5 billion, while maintaining a $35 billion cap on mortgage-backed securities (MBS) runoff, as evidence that QE could be on the horizon.
Hayes added that the Fed’s potential actions will likely lead to "treasury QE," which he believes will propel Bitcoin's value higher once formally announced. This prediction comes as Bitcoin’s price continues to be closely tied to the supply of fiat money and the broader economic landscape.
Despite Hayes' bullish forecast, other analysts are more conservative, with some predicting that Bitcoin could top out at around $132,000 by the end of 2025, based on global liquidity trends and the M2 money supply growth.
Market sentiment, however, remains divided. A majority of traders (60%) are betting on Bitcoin reaching $110,000 by 2025, while only 9% expect the cryptocurrency to reach the $250,000 mark.
In the meantime, Bitcoin's price and market dynamics remain influenced by global economic factors, including fears around rising tariffs, particularly ahead of an upcoming tariff announcement by former U.S. President Donald Trump.
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